Issue 008 · June 30th 2026
the UNMUTED brief
both sides. two minutes. A quick read on what the right and the left (and others) are actually saying
This week: A surprising Twist of Fate for Ukraine, the DSA takeover of NYC, and a fun local story on politicians who vote to not accept a recall on their own positions lol. Plus EVENTS in NYC after the 4th, our guest substack on the UFC and the White House. Oh and a dead talking point to boot! And please, let us know your constructive criticism and suggestions by replying!
Talking point that died this week
Ukraine will lose in a war of attrition.
Um, what is happening here? Putin seems to be reconsidering his options…
This Week’s Takes
Re-introducing our guest pieces for UNMUTED. Our first piece is a follow-on to last week’s newsletter, a comparison of the Roman Empire and Trump’s UFC dabbling on the White House lawn, written by Saad Farhad. He’s a self-described communitarian-leaning fiscal conservative. Believes in markets by default, state only where structurally necessary, unions as a a legitimate counterweight to power concentration, social stability built on individual family responsibility. Enjoy!
TOPICAL(ISH) AND (SOMETIMES) FAIR
№ 01
Ukraine might be winning and nobody is paying attention
— The headlines you might be seeing —
Ukraine drones strike gas plant 1,200 km from front · May 2026 was Russia's worst month for territorial gains since late 2023 · Trump pulls 5,000 US troops from Germany, cuts Army brigades in Europe from 4 to 3
The last 30 days may have been the most consequential of the entire Ukraine war, and you don’t know that because Iran owns the news cycle. Ukrainian drones are now striking gas processing plants and satellite comm centers more than 2,000 km deep into Russia. Russian territorial gains just hit their lowest level in two years. Putin, after four years of rejecting peace talks, started hinting at them this week. Coincidentally (probably) the DoD announced this week they were taking 5,000 US troops out of Germany.
→ The anti-NATO crowd is saying
Won the battle, not the war. A slogan that bears repeating whenever Ukraine has a positive blip. Yes, the drone strikes are impressive. No, they don't change the fundamentals. Russia still controls roughly 20% of Ukraine. The "Ukraine is winning" narrative crashed in 2022 and 2023, and is being teed up to crash again. The correct play is to leverage Russia's current weakness into a negotiated settlement, no more US commitments (we literally keep doing this - Iran anyone?). Europe should fund European defense. We've been there 80 years. After four years and untold money, the right answer is to lock in a deal while we have leverage, not to keep paying the bill while the foreign policy swamp moves the goalposts.
← The pro-NATO crowd is saying
The last 30 days are structural proof that Ukraine support is WORKING. Russia's gas processing capacity, satellite communications, and refinery throughput just took real, lasting damage. Russian desertions are climbing. Putin is publicly hinting at peace talks for the first time since 2022 - this is a big f*cking deal. THIS is the moment to push, and Trump just confirmed his policy is the opposite. Pulling 5,000 troops from Germany the same week the NATO summit opens signals to Putin that he can wait us out, that the next administration may complete the abandonment, and that the right play for Russia is to drag negotiations until US posture changes again. Four years of cost only makes sense if you secure the win at the end. Walking away during the collapse is the worst version of every option.
the UNMUTED question
№ 02
The DSA Eats the Democrats. Did they taste good?
— The headline you might be seeing —
Mamdani-backed slate sweeps NYC congressional primaries, ousts two incumbents · DSA emerges as the most disciplined force in New York politics · "You're next": chants at Brooklyn watch party rattle House leadership
Three Mamdani-endorsed candidates ran the table in Tuesday's primaries. Darializa Avila Chevalier, a 32-year-old DSA member with no prior office, took out five-term Rep. Adriano Espaillat, head of the Congressional Hispanic Caucus. Brad Lander beat two-term Rep. Dan Goldman, the guy who prosecuted Trump. Claire Valdez beat Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso for the open Velázquez seat. Most NYC congressional districts are safe Democratic seats, meaning all three are basically guaranteed November wins. At the watch parties, the crowd chanted "DSA! DSA!" and, when Hakeem Jeffries appeared on screen, "You're next."
→ The DSA crowd is saying
We told you what voters want and you didn't believe us. Affordability won, Israel lost. The Democratic establishment has been running the same play (older incumbents, no economic vision, defer to AIPAC) for twenty years while the cost of living ate everyone alive. We have a different theory of the case, and it just got vindicated at the ballot box. Hakeem Jeffries can downplay this as "a handful of primaries" but he's a lot more nervous than he's letting on. The fact that none of these candidates had any prior legislative experience and they still won says everything about what voters are actually rejecting.
← The Never DSA crowd is saying
This is not the future of the Democratic Party. It's the future of a college-educated activist subculture that happens to vote in low-turnout primaries. Avila Chevalier narrowly lost the lower-income majority Black and Latino neighborhoods in the district she now represents. The crowds chanting "You're next" at a Black man who could be the next Speaker of the House aren't building a working-class movement. They're staging a hostile takeover of a party whose actual voters look nothing like them. And the Israel litmus test is going to become a serious general-election problem. And nobody is talking about Micah Lasher in Manhattan (although NY-12 has strong Jewish roots) or Ritchie Torres in the Bronx, both very much not anti-Israel.
The UNMUTED question
№ 03
75% Voted Them Out. They Voted Themselves Back In.
— The headline you’re probably not seeing —
Recalled California council members refuse to leave office after 75%+ recall margins · Court hearing Monday in unprecedented Central Valley standoff
Some fascinating background (long but worth reading). Avenal is a 13,000-person town in California's San Joaquin Valley. In March, Kings County terminated Avenal's fire services agreement after a dispute over safety issues at a city-hosted boxing venue. The city moved to a volunteer-heavy replacement department. Residents got organized, ran a recall, and on April 28 voted four of the five council members out (Mayor Alvaro Preciado, Leticia Gamez, Pablo Hernandez, David Reynosa) by margins of at least 75% each. Kings County certified in May. Then it got strange. On June 11, three of the four recalled officials showed up to a regular council meeting and voted to keep themselves in office, arguing the recall election was invalid because Kings County administered it instead of the City Council. They approved the city budget at the same meeting. The Kings County DA warned them about continuing to spend public money. Civil injunction papers were served last week. All four are due in Kings County Superior Court Monday, June 29 - we’ll have more on this story next week.
→ The 75% is 75% is saying
How is this not election denial? Voters recalled four of five council members by margins that aren't close. The officials' response was to vote themselves back into office at the next council meeting. Or as we call it, contempt for the electorate. What’s the point of this procedure? Even if they do the election over again, do these politicians expect a different result? And worse: they're still spending public money. Voters did the work. They shouldn't have to drag the AG and a Superior Court judge into a fight that should have ended last month. And if they do, we’re going to get some ugly unintended consequences.
← The Due Process crowd is saying
Process matters, even when the outcome feels obvious. Preciado's actual position is that he's staying in office until a judge rules on the recall's legality. California elections are supposed to be administered by specific authorities under specific procedures - this is a legitimate question to litigate. Voters get to recall. Officials get to contest. Courts get to decide. The fact that the process is slow and ugly is annoying, but "annoying" isn't the same as "wrong." We can’t just set aside rules and procedure because we don’t like to wait.
The UNMUTED question
Worth leaving the house for this week in
NYC
Tuesday, 7/7, 6 PM
Blue and Brave
Joseph Imperatrice (Blue Lives Matter NYC)
Law Enforcement Appreciation Night. Blue Lane Beer sponsorship lol. Blue Lives Matter NYC actually started in 2014, go figure.
Produced by Metropolitan Republicans
Hosted at Metropolitan Republicans
Wed, 7/8 7PM
S.T.O.P. Training: NYC Biometric Mapping
Activists et al
Fascinating. I might go to this. Activism against biometric screening tech. Very niche issue, or is it the fight of the future? AI-adjacent.
Produced by Surveillance Technology Oversight Project (S.T.O.P)
Hosted at TBD
Monday, 7/13, 6 PM
Law of the Land
Neal Katyal (Georgetown U) +
William Treanor (Georgetown U) +
Joan Biskupic (CNN) +
Noel Francisco (Trump’s 1st Term SG) +
Mark J. Stern (Slate) +
Thane Rosenbaum (Touro U)
Supreme Court Year in Review. Annual event for 92NY. A mix (though mostly lib) of pundits on this year’s cases. Immigration, Tariffs, and the limits of Executive Power?
Produced by 92NY +
Forum of Life, Culture, and Society
Hosted at 92NY
The Room at UNMUTED - Thursday, July 30
Those damn elitists! Whether you attended one or not, you have an opinion on the Ivy League. Gatekeepers? Cultural institutions? Meritocracy? Aristocracy? Good for America or bad? We’ll hash it out with two elitists, one who thinks the Ivy League is the bee’s knees, and the other who would love to see it all burn. Next time at UNMUTED. And if you can’t make it, subscribe here to see ALL of our upcoming events

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That’s all for now. See you Space Cowboy…